Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Project $160K


            My daughter was born this year, and I would like to begin investing for her college.  I will make some assumptions about the cost of college in 2034 as noted below.  First, the cost is 160k for a 4-year degree – based on Landsman’s article “What College Tuition Will Look Like in 18 Years” found on CNBC: “In 18 years, the average sticker price for a private university could be as much as $130,428 a year. The situation isn’t much better if you go the public route. Sending your child to a state university could set you back at least $41,228 a year.”
            Second, the SP500 will have an average return on investment of 10% - this is based on a conservative estimate of the historical average return of 12%.  I defer to the expert, Dave Ramsey, on this assumption.  Dave states, “[t]he current average annual return from 1926, the year of the S&P’s inception, through 2011 is 11.69%.”
            Third, I will have 18 years to invest, and allow my investment to grow to 160k.  Alright, the project has been laid out and now it’s time to implement.  I will provide various snap shots along the way on this project to see if it is on track to hit $160k by 2034.  Also, I have created the following mile stones to provide feedback on the fund's progress.

Mile Stones:
2017  - $3,600
2026 - $57,300
2018 - $7,500
2027 - $66,700
2019 - $12,000
2028 - $77,000
2020 – $16,700
2029 - $88,200
2021 - $22,000
2030 - $100,700
2022 - $27,000
2031 - $114,380
2023 - $34,000
2032 - $129,400
2024 - $41,100
2033 - $146,000
2025 - $49,000
2034 - $160,000


Sources:
1.      Stephanie Landsman, “What College Tuition Will Look Like in 18 Years”, 2012, <<http://www.cnbc.com/id/47565202>>
2.      Dave Ramsey’s “The 12% Reality”, 2012,  <<https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/the-12-reality/>>


Tuesday, June 21, 2016

The DFC Fund is now $4,859.13.  I made a partial car payment of $460.00 to my DFC Fund for June.


Below, I have included some for-sale car options found on eBay that are around $5000.  In addition, I have included a graph showing the performance of the SP500.



Saturday, June 18, 2016

Contribution adjustment

The Plan: I am thinking to increase my monthly contribution to $1000 in the DFC fund.  The amount still reflects a typical car payment - e.g. a car payment for a BMW X5, retail price of 55k, is $1k per month for 6 years at 3% interest.  If I adjust my car fund to a $1000 contribution level, I predict** that my fund will reach the following goals over the next 6 years:
·         06/2017 – $17.5k
·         06/2018 – $32k
·         06/2019 – $46k
·         06/2020  –  $63k
·         06/2021 – $81k
·         06/2022 – $100k (a 5-year old BMW X5 is worth about $20k)

The Result: A DFC fund at $100k, without further contributions, would provide enough in growth to purchase a $30k car every three years without hurting the principal and the fund's prior growth.

** - assumption that the market returns at least an average of 8% each year.


Wednesday, June 8, 2016





The DFC Fund is now $4412.32.  I made a partial car payment of $240 to my DFC Fund for June.



Below, I have included some sample car options in the $4500 range and a graph of the SP500.

Friday, June 3, 2016





The “Drive Free Cars” (DFC) Fund is now $4104.87.  I withdrew $1246.01, and then made a partial car payment of $240 to my DFC Fund for May.



I posted some car options in the $4200 range below.





Looks like we have a new peak.